Showing posts with label Otto. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Otto. Show all posts

Sunday, November 21, 2010

Atlantic Hurricane Season 2010

With the official close of the 2010 Atlantic hurricane season still a week away, the season in pretty much all respect, is over. Sure a late-season storm or two could pop up, but the general pattern observed over the past couple weeks looks to continue, therefore furthering unfavorable conditions for development.

So... how did the season add up? The usual skeptics will say it was a bust, but in my opinion 2010 was remarkably awesome for several reasons – we reached the predicted numbers making the 2010 season one of the most active in history, and while the U.S. experienced little impact, NOAA hit the nail on the head with its early season prediction, calling for:
  • 14 to 23 named storms
  • 8 to 14 hurricanes
  • 3 to 7 major hurricanes
Now check out the actuals:

Average
(1966–2009)
2010
Named Storms
8
19
Hurricanes
4
12
Major Hurricanes
1
5








Pretty darn amazing eh? Here's a look at the hurricanes of 2010...

Hurricane Alex



Hurricane Danielle



Hurricane Earl



Hurricane Igor



Hurricane Julia



Hurricane Karl



Hurricane Lisa



Hurricane Otto



Hurricane Paula



Hurricane Richard



Hurricane Shary



Hurricane Tomas


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Monday, October 11, 2010

The Weathervein - Episode 16

The Weathervein is back and we're recapping the tropics and providing the latest information on soon-to-be Hurricane Paula in the northwest Caribbean, as well as a developing nor'easter for the northeast U.S. later this week! Check it out here in Episode 16 of The Weathervein!



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Friday, October 8, 2010

17, 15, 8, 5

You might be wondering what the numbers in the title of this post refer to. Well wonder no more because I'm going to tell you these numbers reference the scorecard for the 2010 Atlantic hurricane season – a season that will go down in the record books as one of the most active in history!

Wait, what!? How can it be one of the most active?

You mean you haven't heard that more than half the storms, major hurricanes included, have gone out to sea as 'fish storms?' That's right... it's been a very active hurricane season but with little U.S. impact, who knew?!

With the formation of Hurricane Otto today, the 2010 Atlantic hurricane season now features a total of 17 storms, 15 of which have been named and of those, 8 became hurricanes. Of those hurricanes, 5 were majors (category 3, i.e. 115 mph or higher). A typical hurricane season produces about 10 storms, of which 6 become hurricanes.

Before the start of hurricane season experts warned of the threat of not only an active season but a very high impact one, however, as mentioned and observed, U.S. impact has been quite minimal outside of a few tropical storms, a depression and glancing blow from Hurricane Earl.

While we are hitting the numbers big time, somewhat unexpected atmospheric conditions have steered a great number of storms away from U.S. coastlines. Who's complaining right? Well, aside from the storm chasers and weather enthusiasts!

Hurricane tracks are greatly influenced by the aforementioned atmospheric conditions. The upper level currents steer hurricanes in a variety of ways and storm tracks are highly dependent on where the storms form and the steering currents at that particular time. According to National Hurricane Center (NHC) Director, Bill Read, with the weather pattern that was in place and the fact that this season's storms formed so far out to the east, it's not surprising that they turned off to the north. As soon as you find a weakness in the big high (known as the Bermuda High) you'll get that effect. This follows the same methodology that Greg Nordstrom and I refer to often in The Weathervein. When storms form east of 35W longitude they will 9 out of 10 times curve out to sea.


Time will tell what the remainder of hurricane season will bring but we only have 6 names left on the list before they are used up. Those names are Paula, Richard, Shary, Tomas, Virginie and Walter. Thereafter we would be required to begin using the Greek alphabet as we did only one time before
– in 2005. However, time is running out.

Regardless, always be hurricane ready!

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