Wednesday, April 7, 2010

Hurricane Pioneer Calls for 15 Storms, 8 Hurricanes, 4 Major

It's been nearly a monthly since our earlier blog post regarding the expectation of an extreme hurricane season. And today, April 7, we are at it again!

The long awaited 2010 Atlantic hurricane season prediction by Dr. William Gray of the University of Colorado's Tropical Meteorology Project calls for an above-average hurricane season with:

  • 15 named storms total
  • 8 hurricanes
  • 4 hurricanes that reach Category 3 or higher

The average hurricane season brings 9.6 named storms, 5.9 hurricanes and 2.3 major hurricanes.

Gray's prediction suggests a 93 percent chance that at least one named storm will make landfall on the east coast, including both coasts of Florida. Chances given for a landfalling hurricane in the same region were 78 percent.

Forecasters are almost never right on target but the Tropical Meteorology Project has been working on perfecting the science of seasonal forecasting for tropical weather for 27 years.